The Paul Ryan Plan

Summary

What is often referred to as "The Paul Ryan Plan" is really a series of two plans. The first of these plans was called "The Path to Prosperity: Restoring America's Promise," and was intended to be the fiscal year 2012 budget plan. The second plan was introduced in March 2012, was intended to be the fiscal year 2013 budget plan and was called "The Path to Prosperity: A Blueprint for American Renewal."

The content of those two plans is largely the same. The major exception is that in the first version, medicare was reformed to a voucher system for all people. In the second, current version, anyone one who is over the age of 55 at the time of the enactment of the legislation remains on the old Medicare system while those younger are enrolled into the new system.

The legislative vehicle for Congressman Ryan's proposal in 2010 was HR 4529 - The Path to Prosperity. It was not originally intended to be an all encompassing political document addressing solutions to all problems. Originally, it was intended to be a budget proposal from a Republican viewpoint and highlighted the need for reform to entitlement programs to fix spending. Second version of the plan - H Con Res 43 was promoted as a Republican plan for the overall economy.

The legislation contains 8 major sections. These sections include, overall health care reform, Medicaid changes, Medicare changes, Social Security changes, changes to the income tax, changes to the business tax, changes to welfare and job training, and changes to budgeting and spending procedures. The main premise of the plan was that spending must be addressed before a crisis point is reached where our debt is too large for the situation to be remedied. 

Health Care

The Paul Ryan plan puts forth sweeping changes to the overall health care system in the United States. State based health care exchanges are set up in each state and regulated by the federal government. Each person will receive a tax credit of $2,300 per person, and the employer based health care exclusion for group health insurance is repealed.

The result of these changes is intended to be a system that is no longer employer based, but rather based on each person. It is portable from job to job, can be purchased across state lines, and contains provisions like ensuring premiums are not too high and that people with pre-exiising conditions are not excluded.

Tort reform is also a large part of the plan. A panel is created to review any case and offer a settlement. The plaintiff can reject this settlement and chose to sue in court. Awards for any lawsuit are limited to the actual financial damages and the amount that any company must pay is reduced by the amount that the patient receives from personal insurance. Non-economic damages are limited to $250,000 regardless of the number of people filing the complaint and regardless of the number of companies filed against.

Medicaid and SCHIP

Medicaid is changed to a system whereby those who are enrolled in the system receive debit cards which allow them to spend the funds at doctors offices and then supplement that benefit with their own funds. The limit of entering the program is set at twice the poverty rate. Those eligible for the SCHIP program are also eligible for the Medicaid and the tax credit.

Medicare

The Medicare system is completely overhauled in the Paul Ryan plan. It extends funds to seniors and allows them to use those funds to purchase health insurance on a market system where insurance companies compete for their business. Some refer to this as  a voucher system, but Congressman Ryan calls it a premium based system. 

In addition to this change, the age of eligibility is raised from 65 to 67 by one month per year for several years. Benefits for this system are also determined in part through a means testing system in which those who earn more than a predefined amount recieve less benefits. The amount of this means testing is set so that beneficiaries with incomes below $80,000 ($160,000 for couples) receive the full standard payment amount; beneficiaries with annual incomes between $80,000 and $200,000 ($160,000 to $400,000 for couples) receive 50 percent of the standard amount; and beneficiaries with incomes above $200,000 ($400,000 for couples) receive 30 percent.

Social Security

Major changes are also made to the social security system in the path to prosperity. However, none of these changes apply to people over the age of 55. A system of private accounts is set up that allows for those accounts to be passed on to children. The private account system is gradually phased in to 5.1 percent of the current 12.4-percent payroll tax over a 30-year period. It also allows lower-income workers to contribute a higher percentage of their payroll taxes than high-income workers.

In the first-stage, for the first 10 years of the program, workers are allowed to invest 2 percent of their first $10,000 of annual payroll into personal accounts, and 1 percent of annual payroll above that up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount of $147,900. The second-stage phase-in begins in 2022, and workers are allowed to invest up to 4 percent of payroll of the first $10,00, and 2 percent of payroll above that up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount. The third-stage phase-In begins in 2032, and workers are allowed to invest up to 6 percent of payroll of the first $10,000, and 3 percent of payroll up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount. The fourth-stage phase-in begins in 2042, and workers are allowed to invest up to 8 percent of payroll of the first $10,000, and 4 percent of payroll up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount.

The accounts are guaranteed against loss, and the funds are divided into several tiers that determine the level of risk in the investments of those funds. Someone with one of these accounts is allowed to retire if they can purchased an annuity equal to 150% of poverty yearly.

To address the financial issues with social security, an aggressive means testing system is put into place. It is referred to as a mix of wage indexing and “progressive price indexing” and is used to calculate initial Social Security benefits under the traditional system. Individuals making less than a certain threshold level (approximately $27,700 per year in 2018) will continue to receive initial benefits based on wage indexing. Individuals who make between the minimum threshold and the maximum taxable amount (approximately $27,700 and $147,9000 in 2018) will have initial benefits adjusted upward by a combination of wage and price indexing that becomes more oriented toward price indexing as they move up the income scale. For example, an individual whose income is half way between $27,700 and $147,900 (in 2018 dollars) will have his initial benefit adjusted upward approximately 50 percent by wage indexing and 50 percent by price indexing. These amounts will also be adjusted for inflation.Individuals who make more than the taxable maximum amount (approximately $147,900 in 2018) will have initial benefits adjusted upward by price indexing, also adjusted for inflation.

The final change to the Social Security system is a raise in the retirement age. The current retirement age is adjusted by one year and gradually rises it to 67 years of age for those who reach that age in 2027. After the normal retirement age of 67 is reached in 2026, the retirement age is raised by 1 month every 2 years. At this rate, the normal retirement age would remain below 70 years until the next century. Does not affect the ability of an individual to retire early if he or she elects to retire early and has accumulated enough wealth to retire early.

Taxes

The Path to Prosperity makes changes to both the personal income tax and the business tax. On the income side, the plan would allow people to chose to fall under a new income tax system in which people that make less than $50,000 or couples that make less than $100,000 would pay 10% on that income and 25% on income higher than that.

On the business side, those taxes are replaced by a new business consumption tax of 8.5% on the sale of goods and services in the United States by a business entity. In the orignial plan, an additional tax of 8.5% of the gross profits of the business entity for the taxable year, but that doesn't appear to be in place in the second plan.

Spending Limitations

A portion of the Paul Ryan Plan places a cap on total government spending at 19% of GDP. It establishes statutory caps, enforced by sequestration, to freeze non-defense discretionary spending and requires that, every year, that spending is projected to exceed the established limits, and Congress has failed to address the problem during the previous 5 years, the OMB makes across-the-board spending reductions in both mandatory and discretionary programs by a percentage calculated to bring spending under the cap, but applies the reduction only to fast-growing programs, and is limited to no more than 1 percent of a program’s spending. This limit is not extended to a time of war. A 3/5 majority is required to raise taxes.

CBO Score

The Congressional Budget Office scored both plans presented by Congressman Ryan. Among the items of note are that the score assumes a yearly growth of 4.2%.

 

Documents

The documents in the table below are related to the Paul Ryan Plan. The first line links to the summary and legislation for the official legislation as introduced. The second link is the official publication on the 2012 fiscal year publication. The third line is the 2013 fiscal year budget plan. 

HR 4529 - Path to Prosperity Official Summary Full Legislation
Budget Plan for 2013 Official Summary Full Legislation
The Path to Prosperity Restoring America's Promise  
The Path to Prosperity A Blueprint for American Renewal  
The Path to Prosperity 2012 - CBO Score  
The Path to Prosperity 2013 - CBO Score  

 

Health Care

The plan requires states to set up state health care exhanges that are certified by the federal government. The benefits of these plans must be equitable to those members of Congress. It requires the exhanges to take all people, regardless of pre-existing condition. A tax credit equal to 1/12 of one policy is given as a tax credit. For those who chose to be part of a high deductable plan, changes are made to Health Savings Accounts to allow for greater savings. A high risk pool is also created and the 2010 health care reforms known as "Obamacare" are repealed.

  • Refundable Credit for Health Insurance Coverage. Provides a flat, refundable income tax credit for individual and family purchase of health insurance. The credit may not be used by those enrolled in Medicare or a military health coverage plan.rnrn
    • Credit Amount. The tax credit equals $2,300 for individual tax filers and $5,700 for joint filers and families.
    • Refundable and Advanceable. The credit is refundable, and therefore available to low-income persons with no tax liability. Credit also is “advanceable,” enabling individuals to purchase coverage at the beginning of a year, rather than waiting for their tax returns.
    • Assignable. The credit would be forwarded directly to the insurer of the tax credit recipient’s choice, leaving the balance, if any, refunded or billed to the recipient.
    • Inflation Adjustable. The credit is adjusted for inflation: specifically, by an average of consumer price index and the percentage increase in the medical care component of the consumer price index.
  • Repeal of Employer Exclusion for Group Health Insurance. Repeals, for purposes of income taxes, the current-law exemption of employer-sponsored health coverage. Employers that continue to provide group health insurance to employees continue to claim contributions as a business expense deduction.
  • Other Tax Components. Retains current-law tax preferences for Health Savings Accounts. Retains the 7.5-percent itemized deduction for medical expenses, but provides that taxpayers who claim the new health care tax credit may not take into account premiums for such coverage for purposes of the tax deduction.
  • Portability. Allows individuals to carry personally owned insurance through changes of jobs or residences.
  • Interstate Purchasing. Allows individuals who reside in one State to buy a more affordable health insurance plan in another State. Likewise, health insurance plans would be able to sell their policies to individuals and families in every State, as other companies do in every other sector of the economy.
  • Small Business Relief. Allows small businesses to pool together nationally to offer coverage to their employees through association health plans [AHPs]. Plans are regulated at the Federal level and would have advantages similar to those of larger employer plans.
  • Health Information Technology. Establishes a market-driven National Health Information Network, providing for individual ownership of medical records, and transitioning the health care industry from paper-based medical records to electronic medical records.
  • Transparency. See details in the Medicare component of this legislation.
  • State-Based Health Exchanges. Requires States to contract with health insurance plans or third-party administrators to run exchanges. Encourages States to form inter-state compacts, increasing their negotiating abilities and enhances risk-pool sizes. Requires exchanges to offer insurance plans with the same standard health benefits available to Members of Congress. Requires all health plans on an exchange to provide annual open enrollment periods and enroll newly eligible individuals. Prohibits plans offers through an exchange from discriminating based on pre-existing conditions, and allows individuals to opt out of health care. Exchange requirements include:rn
    • Auto-Enrollment. Each State is to develop auto-enrollment health insurance procedures (similar to those for dual-eligibles under the Medicare Modernization Act) for previously eligible Medicaid recipients.
    • High Risk Pools. Funds are to be used to help low-income individuals and families (as defined by the State) and high-cost individuals and families (those for whom insurance is unavailable or highly expensive due to health status) purchase qualifying insurance. Eligible expenses shall include, but not be limited to, direct assistance with premiums and cost-sharing for low-income and/or high-cost families.
    • Reinsurance Mechanisms. Each State is to establish and finance reinsurance mechanisms, ensuring high risk pools are adequately funded and that individuals receiving coverage through high risk pools are not subject to prohibitively high premiums.
    • Transparency Networks. Each State is to establish and maintain a network designed to improve consumer information, transparency in price and quality data, and reductions in transition costs associated with health insurance enrollment.

 

Medicaid and SCHIP Reform

 

  • Modernizing the Medicaid Benefit. Converts the delivery of Medicaid benefits into an ownership system. Provides beneficiaries with health care debit cards with adjustable fund amounts, and allows recipients to combine these amounts with support from the health care tax credit.rnrn
    • Income Limits. Eligible families must have gross incomes not exceeding 200 percent of the poverty line; must include at least one dependent individual under the age of 19; and must have no health insurance.
    • Application of Debit Card. The debit card may be applied to health care expenses including the purchase of health insurance, the direct purchase of health care services and supplies, and any cost sharing. It may not be used for non-health-related purchases.
    • Debit Card Amounts. In addition to the tax credit, the additional support available to eligible families is as follows: $5,000 for families with incomes not exceeding 100 percent of the poverty level; $4,000 for families with incomes between 100 percent and 120 percent of the poverty level; $3,500 for families with incomes between 120 percent and 140 percent of the poverty level; $3,000 for families with incomes between 140 percent and 160 percent of the poverty level; $2,500 for families with incomes between 160 percent and 180 percent of the poverty level; and $2,000 for families with incomes between 180 percent and 200 percent of the poverty level. An additional $1,000 is made available for each family in which there is a pregnancy during a 12-month period, and an additional $500 is made available for each family member under the age of 1. Beneficiaries are allowed to roll over up to one quarter of unexpended debit card amounts at the end of each 12-month period.
    • Enrollment. Open enrollment is available for up to 4 months per year. All persons predetermined as eligible for Medicaid or SCHIP – except those who qualify as disabled, elderly, or members of special populations – are automatically enrolled in the supplemental debit card plan.
  • Health Insurance Education. Provides access for qualifying families to education services regarding plan options and assistance in enrollment in the supplemental debit card plan.
  • Retention of Medicaid for Specific Populations. Retains the current Medicaid Program for States’ long-term care and disabled populations, who do not take part in the tax credit. Provides to each State a block grant for such funds. Allows States maximum flexibility in tailoring Medicaid programs to the specific needs of the State. Indexes the long-term care block grant for inflation and adjusts for population growth in the same manner as the block grant option described above.
  • SCHIP. Makes the current SCHIP population eligible for the health care tax credit and supplemental debit card.

 

Medicare Reform

The Medicare program undergoes significant changes for all Americans under the original plan. The plan creates a subsidy system where those on the program receive funds from the federal government equivalent to those the government would pay on their behalf. They then use those subsidies to purchase insurance on the open market. Those with the ability to do so could pay for larger plans that provide additional coverage, lower deductables, or any option available.

A means testing system is introduced to lock out people who have earned above a given amount each year. This is the same sort of system in place for the part D prescription drug plan.

A number of changes are also made to the bureaucracy of the Medicare, including consolidating the leadership positions of a number of these "parts."

The other major change is that the eligibility age for Medicare is slowly raised from 65 to 67.

  • New Medicare Program. Establishes a new Medicare Program – applicable for beneficiaries eligible on or after 1 January 2021 – transitioning to a program in which Medicare beneficiaries receive standard payments to pay for their health care coverage.
  • Eligibility for Payment. Makes Medicare beneficiaries eligible for payments by enrolling in a health insurance plan. Pays the amount in each case directly to the health plan designated by the beneficiary (similar to the mechanics of the administration of the health care tax credit), with the beneficiary receiving any leftover amount as a refund payment from the health insurance plan, or assuming financial responsibility for any difference between the payment and the total cost of the premium.
  • Medicare Payment. For beneficiaries first becoming eligible on or after 1 January 2021, creates a standard Medicare payment to be used for the purchase of private-sector health coverage.rn
    • Payment Amount. Standard payment is the average amount Medicare currently spends per beneficiary, and is indexed for inflation by the projected average of the consumer price index and the medical economic index. For affected beneficiaries, the payment replaces all components of the current Medicare program (Medicare Part A fee-for-service, Medicare Part B, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare Part D).
    • Risk and Geographical Adjustments. Payment amounts are risk-adjusted and partially geographically adjusted, with the geographic adjustment phasing out over time. Medicare beneficiaries received the standard amount once they enroll for the benefit, with the flexibility to receive a positive adjustment of that amount based on a risk-assessment from their chosen health plan.
    • Income-Relating. Payment amount is modified based on income, in a manner similar to that for current Medicare Part B premiums subsidies. Specifically: beneficiaries with incomes below $80,000 ($160,000 for couples) receive the full standard payment amount; beneficiaries with annual incomes between $80,000 and $200,000 ($160,000 to $400,000 for couples) receive 50 percent of the standard amount; beneficiaries with incomes above $200,000 ($400,000 for couples) receive 30 percent.
  • Extra Support for Low-Income Beneficiaries. Establishes and funds Medical Savings Accounts [MSAs] for low-income beneficiaries. (Current law allows any Medicare beneficiary to set up a tax-free MSA; the reform proposal provides the additional support for low-income beneficiaries.)rn
    • Dual-Eligibles and Incomes Below 100 Percent of Poverty. For those fully “dual eligible” (eligible under current policies for both Medicare and Medicaid), and beneficiaries with incomes below 100 percent of the poverty level, an MSA subsidy is provided equaling the full deductible amount of an average high-deductible health plan.
    • Incomes Between 100 Percent and 150 Percent of Poverty. Those with incomes between 100 percent and 150 percent of poverty receive 75 percent of the full deposit.
  • Retention of Existing Program. Retains current Medicare Program for those eligible prior to 1 January 2021. Premiums for Part A, Part B, and Part D are not affected by the phasing of the younger population into the new program. Strengthens the current program with changes such as income-relating drug benefit premiums to ensure long-term sustainability.
  • Continuation of Medicare Financing at Current Tax Rates. Retains the Medicare payroll tax of 2.9 percent of the FICA and Self-Employed Contributions Act [SECA] payroll tax, as is the case now.
  • Transparency. Restructures the current Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality [AHRQ] and removes it from the Department of Health and Human Services. Renames it the Healthcare Services Commission [HSC] governed along the same lines as the Securities and Exchange Commission, and managed by five commissioners chosen from the private sector, appointed by the President, and approved by the Senate.rn
    • Purpose. The purpose of the HSC is to enhance the quality, appropriateness, and effectiveness of health care services through the publication and enforcement of quality and price information.
    • Standard-Setting Group. Similar to the Financial Accounting Standards Board [FASB] role in establishing accounting principles, the bureau will have a standard-setting body – a Forum for Quality and Effectiveness in Health Care – consisting entirely of private-sector representation, with the authority to establish and promulgate metrics to report price and quality data. The forum members will represent views from medical providers, insurers, researchers, and consumers, and will serve independently of any other employment. The forum will publish, for public comment, a preliminary analysis on standards for reporting price, quality, and effectiveness of health care services. After the comment period, the group will publish a final report containing guidelines for regulating the publication and dissemination of health care information. The HSC is authorized to enforce these standards.
    • Medical Liability Reform. Assists states in establishing solutions to medical tort litigation. Ensures the accessibility of health care for everyone by stopping the rising costs of medical malpractice litigation. Enables each State to tailor its solution to its own needs, including establishing an expert panel to resolve medical disputes, establishing independent health courts with qualified judges for dispute resolution, or a combination of both.

 

Social Security Reform

The plan enacted by the Path to Prosperity would have created a personal savings account for any person born after January 1, 1956, and would have applied to them only if they chose to participate in the program. If the person chose to participate in this program, the amount contributed to those accounts would have gradually increased over the next few decades.

  • Creation of Personal Accounts. Beginning in 2012, provides workers under 55 the option of dedicating portions of their FICA payroll taxes toward personal accounts, or remaining in the current Social Security system. Individuals retain the ability to choose shift in or out of their accounts as their tax filing status changes.
  • Account Phase-In. Gradually phases in accounts equivalent to 5.1 percent of the current 12.4-percent payroll tax over a 30-year period. Allows lower-income workers to contribute a higher percentage of their payroll taxes than high-income workers. Phase-in proceeds in four periods, as follows:rn
    • First-Stage Initial Phase-In. For the first 10 years of the program, workers are allowed to invest 2 percent of their first $10,000 of annual payroll into personal accounts, and 1 percent of annual payroll above that up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount of $147,900. The $10,000 level is indexed to inflation. Taxable payroll also is indexed for inflation, as under current law.
    • Second-Stage Phase-In. Beginning in 2022, workers are allowed to invest up to 4 percent of payroll of the first $10,000 (indexed to inflation), and 2 percent of payroll above that up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount (indexed to inflation).
    • Third-Stage Phase-In Beginning in 2032, workers are allowed to invest up to 6 percent of payroll of the first $10,000 (indexed to inflation), and 3 percent of payroll up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount (indexed to inflation).
    • Fourth-Stage Phase-In. Beginning in 2042, workers are allowed to invest up to 8 percent of payroll of the first $10,000 (indexed to inflation), and 4 percent of payroll up to the Social Security taxable maximum amount (indexed to inflation).
  • Personal Accounts Deposits. Deposits each personal account contribution into a Social Security Savings Fund, bearing the individual’s name. Converts individual accounts into annuities upon retirement.
  • Guarantee of Contributions. Individuals who choose to invest in personal accounts will be ensured every dollar they place into an account will be guaranteed, even after inflation. With the recent market downturn, individuals must be assured their retirement is secure. By guaranteeing the dollars you put into an account, individuals can be assured that they are protected against large-scale market downturns.
  • Property Right. Provides that each account is the property of the individual, allowing holders to pass on accumulated wealth to descendants.
  • No Change for Those Over 55. Retains the current system for those currently over 55, with no changes.
  • No Change for Survivors and the Disabled. Retains current survivor and disability benefits as under the current system, without change.
  • Increased Minimum Benefits for Low-Income Individuals. Provides that all individuals choosing personal accounts receive annuity payments of at least 150 percent of the poverty level. Increases to at least 120 percent of the poverty level the benefits for low-income individuals who choose to remain in the current system and meet certain working requirements.
  • Social Security Personal Savings Account Board. Creates a Board to administer the Savings Fund into which contributions to the personal accounts are deposited. Makes the Board responsible for paying administrative expenses and regulating investment options offered by nongovernment firms. Provides that the Board consist of five members – required to have substantial experience, training, and expertise in the management of financial investments and pension benefit plans – appointed by the President, two of whom are appointed after consideration of the recommendations by the House and Senate. Establishes 4-year terms for Board members.
  • Three-Tier Structure. Structures individual accounts in three tiers, with investment options similar to the Thrift Savings Plan [TSP].rn
    • Tier One. Originally, the Board invests the contributions in regulated, low-risk instruments until the personal account reaches a low threshold.
    • Tier Two. Once this threshold is reached, individuals are automatically enrolled into a “life cycle” fund that adjusts for risk and automatically invests the portfolio in a blend of equities and bonds appropriate for the individual’s age. An individual can remain in the “life cycle” fund or choose from five different options that are the same as offered under the TSP: 1) a Government Securities Investment Account; 2) a Fixed Income Investment Account; 3) a Common Stock Investment Account; 4) a Small Capitalization Stock Index Investment Account; and 5) an International Stock Index Investment Account.
    • Tier Three. Once an account accumulates more than $25,000 in inflation-adjusted dollars, an individual can choose an option provided by a non-government firm certified by the Board. The Board certifies only those firms meeting a set of standards. These nongovernment funds also are subject to regulation by the Board to ensure their safety and soundness.
  • Purchase of Annuity. Provides that, when an individual either reaches the normal retirement age or decides to retire early, the individual will purchase an annuity to provide monthly payments equivalent to at least 150 percent of poverty. An individual may purchase a larger annuity if they choose. If an individual has excess money in their account, they may receive it in a lump sum payment and use it as they choose.
  • Early Retirement for Personal Account Participants. Allows an individual to retire and begin receiving an annuity at any time that their personal account has accumulated enough funds to purchase an annuity equivalent to at least 150 percent of poverty.
  • Annuity Purchase and Regulation. Establishes within the Office of the Board, an Annuity Issuance Authority [AIA], which will provide annuity options to be purchased by retiring individuals.
  • Provision for Early Death. Provides that, if an individual dies before their full annuity has been paid, the amount of funds left over in their annuity or personal account will be made available to their designated beneficiaries or estate.
  • No Taxation of Personal Account Benefits. Provides that no tax will be paid on the receipt of Social Security benefits generated from personal account payments either as a part of an individual’s Federal income tax or estate tax.
  • Progressive Price Indexing. Excluding those now over 55, employs, starting in 2018, a mix of wage indexing and “progressive price indexing” for calculating initial Social Security benefits under the traditional system, with adjustments for income levels as follows:rn
    • Low-Income. Individuals making less than a certain threshold level (approximately $27,700 per year in 2018) will continue to receive initial benefits based on wage indexing. Threshold indexed for inflation.
    • Middle-Income. Individuals who make between the minimum threshold and the maximum taxable amount (approximately $27,700 and $147,9000 in 2018) will have initial benefits adjusted upward by a combination of wage and price indexing that becomes more oriented toward price indexing as they move up the income scale. For example, an individual whose income is half way between $27,700 and $147,900 (in 2018 dollars) will have his initial benefit adjusted upward approximately 50 percent by wage indexing and 50 percent by price indexing. These amounts will also be adjusted for inflation.
    • Upper-Income. Individuals who make more than the taxable maximum amount (approximately $147,900 in 2018) will have initial benefits adjusted upward by price indexing, also adjusted for inflation.
    • No Effect on Colas. The proposal does not affect the cost-of-living adjustment [COLA] that Social Security beneficiaries receive each year once they have already begun receiving benefits. Further, it does not affect any individuals over 55, as it is not applied to Social Security beneficiaries until 2018.
  • Acceleration of Ongoing Retirement Age Increase. Advances by 1 year the current retirement age adjustment, which, under current law, gradually rises to 67 years of age for those who reach that age in 2027.
  • Modernizes the Retirement Age. After the normal retirement age of 67 is reached in 2026, indexes further adjustments in the retirement age in accordance with the Social Security Administration’s projected life expectancy, which is expected to gradually increase the normal retirement age by 1 month every 2 years. At this rate, the normal retirement age would remain below 70 years until the next century. Does not affect the ability of an individual to retire early if he or she elects to retire early and has accumulated enough wealth to retire early.

 

Income Tax Changes

Under the proposed plan, each person or family is allowed to chose to be taxed under an alternative tax system. Under this system, each person pays 10% taxes on any income below $50,000 and 25% on any income above that amount. Married couples therefore pay 10% on any income below $100,000 and 25% on anything above that amount. This does not include income from capital gains, dividends, or other revenue generation. A $3,500 exemption is given for dependents and the amount is indexed to inflation.

  • Revenue Projections. In combination with Title VI below, holds total Federal revenue to no more than 19.0 percent of gross domestic product [GDP] for the foreseeable future.
  • Offers Individual Taxpayers a Choice. Provides individuals the choice of paying income taxes in either of two ways: 1) under a new Simplified Tax, or 2) under the existing tax code.rn
    • Current Code Taxpayers. Those choosing the current code will pay their income taxes with existing tax forms, the current set of exemptions, exclusions, deductions, and credits; but the alternative minimum tax [AMT] is eliminated.
    • Individuals Choosing Simplified Tax. The new Simplified Tax broadens the tax base by clearing out nearly all of the existing tax deductions and credits, compresses the tax schedule down to two low rates, and retains a generous standard deduction and personal exemption.
  • AMT Repeal. Eliminates the alternative minimum tax [AMT] entirely and permanently.
  • Selection of Simplified Individual Income Tax. Applies the following rules for choice of individual income tax:rn
    • Initial Election. The election must be made within 10 years from the time that the Simplified Tax is established. Individuals are not allowed to switch between tax systems on a year-by-year basis.
    • Changeover Options. After the initial choice is made, however, individuals are allowed one additional changeover between the two tax systems over the course of a lifetime. Individuals are also allowed to change tax systems when a major life event (death, divorce, marriage) alters their tax filing status.
      Applies the Simplified Tax solely to Federal individual income taxes. Does not affect other Federal individual taxes, such as payroll taxes and excise taxes.
  • Two-Rate Tax Schedule. Creates the following Simplified Tax rates:rn
    • Ten-Percent Rate. A rate of 10 percent applies to adjusted gross income [AGI] (defined below) up to $100,000 for joint filers, and $50,000 for single filers.
    • Twenty-Five Percent Rate. A rate of 25 percent applies to taxable income above $100,000 for joint filers and $50,000 for single filers. (See Table for a comparison with current tax brackets.)
  • Adjusted Gross Income, Standard Deductions, and Personal Exemptions. Defines taxable income as equal to earnings minus a standard deduction and personal exemption. The standard deduction is $25,000 for joint tax filers, $12,500 for single filers. The personal exemption is $3,500. The combination is equivalent to a $39,000 exemption for a family of four.
  • Returns to Savings Tax Exempt. Contains no tax on interest, capital gains, or dividends.
  • Broader Tax Base. Eliminates, in the Simplified Tax, virtually all of the credits and deductions in the existing tax code, but retains a generous standard deduction amount while lowering tax rates. Retains health care tax credit described above.

 

Changes to the Business Taxes

As part of the plan put forward within the Paul Ryan plan was a business consumption tax of 8.5% is imposed on the sale of goods and services in the United States by a business entity. An additional tax of 8.5% of the gross profits of the business entity for the taxable year.

  • Business Consumption Tax. Eliminates the current corporate income tax and replaces it with a Business Consumption Tax of 8.5 percent on goods and services. BCT calculated using the “subtraction method.”rn
    • Businesses determine their tax liability by subtracting their total purchases (e.g. material costs from other businesses) from total sales.
    • The BCT is imposed on this net receipts figure (i.e the firm’s value added) and paid to the Federal Government each reporting period.
  • Treatment of Investments. Allows immediate expensing of investments.
  • Border-Adjustability. Lifts the BCT on exports leaving the U.S. and imposes it on imports when arriving in the U.S.

 

Welfare Reform

TITLE VII: JOB TRAINING REFORMS

  • Competition for Job Training Grants. Requires competitive bidding for all job training grants awarded to private contractors. Gives greater weight to applications that leverage Federal resources with private investment, and prohibits the renewal of grants that fail to help trainees succeed.
  • Performance Measures. Creates one set of performance metrics for all Federal job training programs.
  • Transparency. Requires that both the training outcomes and the spending data for all job training programs are placed on a centralized website for access by the public.
  • Encouragement of State Innovation. Gives each State the option to develop, in conjunction with the Department of Labor, a 3-year plan to improve training outcomes. Allows each State, as long as the approach is successful, to consolidate the funding streams of up to 48 existing Federal job training programs into one integrated and streamlined block grant.
  • Accessibility. Removes barriers separating the Workforce Investment Act sequence of services and enables job counselors to match certain job seekers with needed training in a timely fashion, giving special consideration to displaced workers and workers in danger of being displaced.
  • Life-Long Learning Awareness Campaigns. Requires recipients of job training grants to conduct public awareness campaigns on the need for, and availability of, job training opportunities in the local community. Provides incentives for the Nation’s broadcasters to do the same through Public Service Announcements.
  • Accountability. Requires the Government Accountability Office [GAO] to conduct periodic reports on how well the job training programs are working based on the new common metrics, and how much duplication still exists among the programs. Prohibits the act of “cream-skimming” to meet performance goals, and requires both the Department of Labor’s Inspector General and the GAO to conduct periodic audits looking for such problems.

 

Budget Reform

TITLE VIII: BUDGET PROCESS REFORM

  • Cap on Total Government Spending. Establishes a binding cap on total spending as a percentage of GDP at the levels projected to result from this legislation.
  • Discretionary Caps. Establishes statutory caps, enforced by sequestration, to freeze non-defense discretionary spending.
  • Annual Long-Term Projections. Requires that, every year, the Office of Management and Budget [OMB] and the Congressional Budget Office project Federal Government spending levels and compare those levels to the government spending limits.
  • Excess Spending. Creates a mechanism to automatically slow the growth in faster-spending entitlement programs, applied every 5 years, if spending is projected to exceed the established limits, and Congress has failed to address the problem during the previous 5 years. Under the mechanism, requires OMB to make across-the-board spending reductions in both mandatory and discretionary programs by a percentage calculated to bring spending under the cap, but applies the reduction only to fast-growing programs, and is limited to no more than 1 percent of a program’s spending.
  • Congressional Grace Period. Provides that, after the spending reduction is ordered, it does not go into effect until the next fiscal year, affording the Congress time to act to correct the problem before the automatic spending reductions go into effect.
  • Suspension in Times of Low-Growth or War. Provides that spending reductions would not be required if the nation is at war or suffering an economic downturn.
  • Supermajority Requirement for Tax Increase. Requires a three-fifths vote in the House and Senate to consider legislation that would cause a net increase in Federal revenue. 

 

 

Votes

The US House passed the Paul Ryan plan along mostly party lines on April 15, 2011. The Senate failed to pass the plan on May 25, 2011.